2018-07-16 RRG Notes

Cognitive Biases Potentially Affecting judgment of Global Risks

Introduction

Availability

Hindsight Bias

Black Swans

The Conjunction Fallacy

Confirmation Bias

Anchoring, Adjustment and Contamination

The Affect Heuristic

Scope Neglect

Calibration and Overconfidence

Bystander Apathy

A Final Caution

Conclusion